Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.190587 0.220888 0.254453 0.294394 0.340640 0.392519 0.455163
2025-07-20 0.145793 0.187048 0.237549 0.303945 0.389014 0.494469 0.635337
2025-07-27 0.122014 0.167898 0.228073 0.312823 0.429275 0.583949 0.805527
2025-08-03 0.103923 0.151410 0.217283 0.315421 0.458196 0.658833 0.963171
2025-08-10 0.088716 0.135800 0.204364 0.311604 0.475532 0.717426 1.103002
2025-08-17 0.075312 0.120481 0.189170 0.301381 0.480663 0.757021 1.217529
2025-08-24 0.068374 0.113886 0.185900 0.308321 0.512003 0.838788 1.405953
2025-08-31 0.061456 0.106255 0.179787 0.309481 0.533504 0.906483 1.578696
2025-09-07 0.056180 0.100582 0.176004 0.313696 0.560025 0.984607 1.777336
2025-09-14 0.049958 0.092421 0.166914 0.307389 0.567125 1.029650 1.922417
2025-09-21 0.045178 0.086220 0.160454 0.304818 0.580240 1.086124 2.093942
2025-09-28 0.041686 0.081953 0.156941 0.307124 0.602354 1.160906 2.307784
2025-10-05 0.040013 0.081047 0.159738 0.322065 0.650918 1.291879 2.648614
2025-10-12 0.037920 0.079069 0.160265 0.332648 0.692259 1.413779 2.986963
2025-10-19 0.035929 0.077037 0.160405 0.342366 0.732805 1.538315 3.345427
2025-10-26 0.033457 0.073686 0.157452 0.345211 0.759164 1.636396 3.659190
2025-11-02 0.030613 0.069186 0.151571 0.341032 0.769796 1.702217 3.909978
2025-11-09 0.027497 0.063712 0.142978 0.329839 0.763525 1.730492 4.079389
2025-11-16 0.026164 0.062122 0.142735 0.337438 0.800635 1.858981 4.495161
2025-11-23 0.024483 0.059520 0.139915 0.338708 0.823103 1.956434 4.848896
2025-11-30 0.023177 0.057657 0.138583 0.343323 0.853984 2.076683 5.272082
2025-12-07 0.021257 0.054071 0.132792 0.336417 0.855908 2.127895 5.529374
2025-12-14 0.019758 0.051365 0.128830 0.333602 0.867704 2.204418 5.860323